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Add Montana child credit reform analysis notebooks#122

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DTrim99 wants to merge 3 commits intoPolicyEngine:mainfrom
DTrim99:add-mt-child-credit-analysis
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Add Montana child credit reform analysis notebooks#122
DTrim99 wants to merge 3 commits intoPolicyEngine:mainfrom
DTrim99:add-mt-child-credit-analysis

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@DTrim99 DTrim99 commented Mar 4, 2026

Summary

  • Add analysis notebook for Montana newborn credit ($1,000/child under 1)
  • Add analysis notebook for Montana young child credit ($1,000/child under 6)

Both notebooks analyze:

  • Children eligible (under age threshold)
  • Children benefiting from reform
  • Budgetary impact
  • Poverty impact (overall and child)
  • Winners/losers distribution

Uses MT state dataset from HuggingFace.

Test plan

  • Run newborn_credit_analysis.ipynb
  • Run young_child_credit_analysis.ipynb
  • Verify outputs are reasonable

Closes #121

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

DTrim99 and others added 3 commits March 4, 2026 16:59
Add two analysis notebooks for Montana's proposed child credit reforms:

- newborn_credit_analysis.ipynb: $1,000 credit for children under 1
- young_child_credit_analysis.ipynb: $1,000 credit for children under 6

Both notebooks analyze eligibility counts, budgetary impact, poverty
reduction, and distributional effects using the MT state dataset.

Closes PolicyEngine#121

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- Add ctc_analysis.ipynb for Montana Child Tax Credit reform ($1,800/<6, $1,500/6-17)
- Add Households and Children section to all three MT notebooks showing:
  - Total households with children and percentage benefiting
  - Total children and percentage benefiting
- Update Winners/Losers to use person-level weighting (consistent with intra-decile)
- Add comprehensive impact metrics matching KYPA format

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@DTrim99
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DTrim99 commented Mar 12, 2026

Updates

Added new Montana Child Tax Credit analysis and enhanced all three MT notebooks:

New: ctc_analysis.ipynb

  • Analyzes the MT CTC reform ($1,800 per child under 6, $1,500 per child 6-17)
  • Comprehensive impact metrics matching KYPA format:
    • Budgetary impact with validation ratio
    • Person-level winners/losers (consistent with intra-decile)
    • Income decile analysis (average and relative)
    • Intra-decile distribution
    • Poverty impacts (overall, deep, child, deep child)
    • Income bracket breakdown

Enhanced: All three MT notebooks

Added Households and Children section showing:

  • Total households with children
  • Households with children benefiting (count and %)
  • Total children (under 18)
  • Children benefiting (count and %)

This addresses the need for child-specific metrics in the reform analysis.

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Add Montana child credit reform analysis notebooks

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